Nuclear deal could ultimately weaken #Iran moderates

3 Aug

My latest article argues that instead of strengthening Iranian president Hassan Rouhani in the long-term, the nuclear deal could actually weaken him. Hassan_Rouhani

To read click below:

http://www.tabletmag.com/jewish-news-and-politics/192494/nuclear-deal-hassan-rouhani

 

#Israel and the legal discrimination against Palestinians in the West Bank

31 Jul

The funeral of 18 month-old Ali Saad Dawabsha today

Words are not enough to describe the sense of sadness which I and many other Israelis feel today. The news of today’s terrorist attack in which an 18 months old Palestinian child burned to death and injured his parents has reverberated around the country. Both the Prime Minister and the Defense Minister have called it an “act of terrorism”.

We must not at this point let some of the hard truths pass us by. There are terrorists and victims on both sides, on the Israeli side and the Palestinian side.

But we must also look at life in the West Bank and the legal discriminations there.

Harriet Sharwood points out these discriminations in her article today.

So what if an Israeli youth living in area C of the West bank is arrested? He/she is:

dealt with under Israeli civilian law and courts.

So what if a Palestinian youth living in area C of the West bank is arrested? He/she is dealt under the:

Israeli military justice system.

So whats the difference?

Settler (Israeli) youths are rarely held in detention before trial and have access to superior legal representation.

What about Palestinian youths living in area C of the West Bank?

Palestinian youths are often detained at night, sometimes interrogated without lawyers or family members present, subject to physical and verbal abuse, forced to sign “confessions” written in Hebrew, a language that few can read, shackled and handcuffed during court appearances, rarely given bail, and serve sentences in prisons far from home with relatives needing elusive permits for infrequent visits.

 

You see the difference between trying and interrogating someone under Israeli military rule and under Israeli civilian rule? you see the sheer discrimination?

The way we are conducting ourselves in the West Bank will give us anything but security. Such discrimination is only creating more hate and despair every day.

I enclose with the Jewish Mourners prayers for the Dawabsha family. May God protect them and give them strength, for they have just lost their 18 months old baby boy.

​مصاحبه: سفر منطقه ای دو وزیر ایرانی و آمریکایی به خاورمیانه

29 Jul khamenei obama

​دو شب پیش در برنامه افق صدای امریکا شرکت کردم و در مورد اهداف سفر وزرای امریکا و ایران به کشورهای مختلف در خاور میانه با دکتر علیرضا نوریزاده، و دکتر جلیل روشندل ​تبادل نظر کردیم

#Iran deal: From talk of a bomb to economic boom?

27 Jul

Will the removal of sanctions make much difference to Iran’s economy? What are the other obstacles which Iran’s economy faces?

These questions are addressed in the panel discussion below.

مک دونالد میخواد ایران شعبه بزنه ؟ زکی!

26 Jul
به قول برره ای ها: مک دونالد دیگه کی بید, جیگر؟
پذیرش نمایندگی میخوای؟
بیا. این فرمی برای پذیرش نمایندگی که تمام صنعت رستوران داری امریکا را از ترس خواهد لرزاند :-)
with correct spelling

My comments on the #Iran nuclear deal for the FPA

23 Jul

Two days ago, The Foreign Press Association in Israel (FPA) invited Dr Dore Gold, the Director General of the Israel Foreign Ministry and the former head of the Conservative kham-netanThink Tank JCPA to present the Israeli government’s position on Iran and the nuclear talks.

The FPA then gave me the floor to comment on the official Israeli government’s position, as presented by Dr Gold.

The summary of both of our comments was published in this report by the Jerusalem Post.

Just one correction: where it says “Iran’s ethnic cleansing of Sunnis ” is wrong. I stated “Iran regime Shiite allies ethnic cleansing of Sunnis”

Here is a summary of my points.

Meir Javedanfar, an Iranian- born analyst who now lives in Tel Aviv and lectures at the IDC Herzliya, took issue with some of Gold’s statements Because Iran is obliged to allow inspection of undeclared sites, it cannot hide nuclear activity, he insisted.

“Nuclear material is extremely difficult to remove from air, land, or water,” he said, and therefore no matter what Iran might do, it would not succeed in hiding its nuclear operations.

The deal is not about trusting the Iranian regime, he insisted. “When it’s not in their interests they don’t keep deals. When it is in their interests they keep deals that others would throw away. Nobody trusts the Iranian regime, but you have to look at their political eco system. It’s not a question about trust. It’s a question about mistrust and verification.”

Javedanfar also made the point that if the Iranians had wanted to make a nuclear weapon, they would have done so before the agreement.

He suggested that what the West does not understand is that “in Iran there is a regime and there is a government, and we have to make that distinction.”

President Hassan Rouhani does not make any decisions without the instructions or approval of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, said Javedanfar, who remarked that Khamenei is now distancing himself from Rouhani and letting him take the blame for anything that looks like compromise on Iran’s part in the agreement.

“If you want a moderate Iran, you have to worry about Rouhani,” he said.

Javedanfar left room for hope by saying that “Iran’s image in the region is starting to nosedive.” Iran’s ethnic cleansing of Sunnis is impacting on the region and is contributing to a strong anti-Iran coalition, said Javedanfar.

Talking peace with Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas would make Israel’s position more acceptable in the region, he added.

As an Iranian who knows the language and the mentality of his former fellow countrymen, Javedanfar was adamant that “the Iranian regime is not an existential threat to Israel. It is a strategic threat.”

Debate me on the #Irandeal

22 Jul

A prominent reason given by those who believe that the current Iran deal is a bad deal is one that says the current deal does not force Iran to completely dismantle its nuclear program.

As someone who follows Iranian domestic politics closely, looking at this reason from a domestic Iranian political angle, in my opinion it is extremely unlikely that Iran’s leadership, with Ayatollah Khamenei at its helm, would agree to such a demand. There are numerous reasons why I believe this to be true, the extremely, almost unbearable high domestic political cost of adhering to such a demand being one of them.

Therefore, I disagree with the argument that says Iran’s leadership, through the continuation of the current negotiations can be forced to dismantle its entire nuclear program.

I would like to invite an expert from the other side of the argument who specializes in domestic Iranian politics to debate me on-line on this topic.

To make this a specialist level debate for our audience, I believe that the opposite side of the debate should also be a Persian speaker who can also read Persian fluently and to have published at least 1 article on a subject concerning domestic Iranian politics, for a news site or for an academic journal.

Do you know of anyone who would like to take part in such a debate?

Regards,

Meir Javedanfar

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