Some media outlets seem to be under the impression that the leaked South African cables regarding the Mossad’s assessment on Iran have revealed new information.
General Kochavi, former head of the IDF Military Intelligence branch. Source
In reality, from what has been published so far, these leaks have not yet revealed anything new.
In numerous speeches, going as far back as 2012, the serving head of Israel’s Military Intelligence General Aviv Kochavi (pictured right) publicly stated what seems so far to be a major part of these leaked confidential reports: that Iran has not yet decided to assemble a nuclear weapon.
For example at the Herzliya conference in 2012, General Kochavi stated:
“When Khamenei gives the order to produce the first nuclear weapon – it will be done, we believe, within one year.”
Note the operative word “when”. It means he has not yet made the decision to make a nuclear weapon.
He repeated the same point at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) conference in 2013 in Tel Aviv. According to the Times of Israel, General Kochavi said:
“that the Iranian military nuclear program continues in a manner that enables Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, should he decide to give the order, to sprint ahead “to one bomb or more.”
Note the term: “should he decide”.
So are these different to what the Mossad allegedly told South Africa’s security services?
No. Because according to Al Jazeera, the Mossad reportedly told their South African counterparts that Iran scientists are “working to close gaps in areas that appear legitimate such as enrichment reactors”. And this will:
“reduce the time required to produce weapons from the time the instruction is actually given“.
So in short, nothing new has been revealed by these reports yet. Lets see if they have anything else to offer in the future.