?برنامه هسته ای #ایران به کی تعلق داره

9 Feb
برنامه هسته ای ایران به کی تعلق داره, به مردم ایران, به دولت ایران یا به رژیم ایران؟

اگر مذاکرات کنونی بین ایران و گروه پنج به علاوه یک به نتیجه نرسد, آیا ما شاهده امتداد دوباره خواهیم بود؟
چرا برخی احزاب و افراد در اسرائیل و در امریکا مخالف نطق نخست وزیر نتانیاهو در کنگره هستند؟
در مورد این موضوع ها و تازه ترین تحولات در مذاکرات اتمی با آقای بیژن فرهودی, خبرنگار کیهان لندن گفتگویی داشتم.

آیا روابط اسرائیل و آمریکا تغییر کرده است?

7 Feb
تصمیم نخست وزیر اسرائیل بنجامین نتانیاهو برای سخنرانی در کنگره امریکا واکنش های منفی در بعضی از محافل سیاسی در امریکا به وجود آورده, به خصوص از کاخ سفید و اعضای حزب دمکرات.
تا حدی که یکی از مسولین کاخ سفید به روزنامه نگران گفت که با این تصمیم   “نتانیاهو در صورت ما تف کرده”.

 

آیا این تنش ها منجر به صدمه دراز مدت در روابط بین اسرائیل و امریکا خواهند شد؟ آیا حمایت از اسرائیل را در امریکا سخت خواهند کرد؟
تا چه حد این تنش ها فقط محدود به روابط بین دولت های کنونی امریکا و اسرائیل هستند؟

در برنامه صفحه دو آخر هفته بی بی سی فارسی, همراه با آقایون منصور فرهنگ و سعید قاسمی نژاد در مورد این سوالها گفتگویی داشتیم.

Netanyahu may cancel his Congress speech

7 Feb

I think there is an increasing possibility that Netanyahu will cancel his 3rd of March speech in front of the Congress. Benjamin_Netanyahu_portrait

The chances of him cancelling are not 50% yet, but in my honest opinion, they are most probably approaching the 50% mark.

I base my estimate on the following developments, in descending order of importance (to the Prime Minister):

  1. 40 democrats are expected to skip his speech

  2. Biden has just announced that he won’t attend his speech.

  3. Obama won’t meet with him.

Now you may say that Netanyahu does not care much about what the Democrats think.

But AIPAC does, and it has to work with them.

And should the current trend of opposition to Netanyahu’s speech at the Congress continue, its very possible that the Prime Minister’s office will get a warning from AIPAC. Something like “if Prime Minister Netanyahu does go ahead with this speech, he will be disrupting our work and making our job of garnering support for Israel unjustifiably more difficult. The cost of his Congress speech vs postponing it are far higher for us and for Israel’s position in bipartisan US politics. “

AIPAC is an organization whose advice ALL Israeli Prime Ministers take seriously, including Netanyahu.

So don’t dismiss the possibility of Netanyahu actually cancelling his upcoming speech in front of the Congress.

ایران و آرژانتین: مرگ دادستان نیسمن

5 Feb
“جسد آلبرتو نیسمن که رسیدگی به پرونده‌ انفجار مرکز یهودیان «آمیا» را به عهده داشت، روز ۱۸ ژانویه در حمام آپارتمانش در بوئنوس آیرس پیدا شد. کنار پیکر بی‌جان نیسمن، یک اسلحه‌‌ کالیبر ۲۲ و یک پوکه‌ فشنگ قرار داشت.
در انفجار امیا که مرکز یهودیان آرژانتین بود در سال ۱۹۹۴ میلادی, ۸۵ نفر کشته و صدها زخمی شدند.
دادستان نیسمان,گروه حزب الله لبنان با همراهی کمک دولت جمهوری اسلامی را متهم به انجام این حمله کرده بود.
در برنامه افق امشب, همراه با خانم رویا برومند و گارت پورتر در مورد قتل دادستان نیسمان و اتهامات او علیه حزب الله و جمهوری اسلامی ایران گفتگو کردیم.

So what does an #Israel election debate in English look like?

5 Feb

One of the things I enjoy the most about elections in Israel are the debates.

Haviv Rettig Gur (center) fron the Times of Israel was the moderator. Photo source: Times of Israel

The politicians really tear into policies and their opponents.

During the last elections I went into one of the debates and started tweeting them in Farsi. I found them so entertaining that I had to share them with my twitter followers from Iran.

The problem is that most of the debates are in Hebrew.

Well, that was not the case three nights ago when the TLV International Salon organization together with the Times of Israel hosted a debate between candidates from all major parties – in English. The debate was broadcast live on the internet, thanks to Chaistream.

The panellists were: Tamar Zandberg from the left wing Meretz party,  Hilik Bar from the left of Center Labor party, Yaakov Peri from the centrist Yesh Atid party, Michael Oren from the right of center Kulanu party, Tzachi Hanegbi from the right wing Likud party and Ayelet Shaked from the ultra right wing Bayit Yehudi party.

All elections topics including Iran and the peace process were discussed. Its entertaining, to say the least. Make sure to watch it and to share with friends.

Meir Javedanfar – upcoming North America lecture tour

1 Feb

Every two years, I spend two weeks touring Canada and the US as part of a speaking tour.

This year I will be available for lectures in North America during the following two weeks:

The Week beginning 20th of April and

The Week beginning 27th of April.

Lecture topics will include:

– Iran’s nuclear program: towards a solution or a crisis?

– Iran and Hezbollah in Syria: is another war between Israel and Hezbollah inevitable?

– What is life in Iran like for the average Iranian citizen? What are the socio-economic challenges which the people of Iran face?

– How is Iran viewed by the Israeli society ?

Please let me know if you know of Universities / Synagogues / Think Tanks / Communal organizations who may be interested in a lecture regarding the aforementioned topics, or other Iran – Israel related topics which maybe of interest.

My biography can be found here.

My personal email is: Meir.Javedanfar@gmail.com

Thanks.

#Iran: Cheap #Oil and Shrinking Choices

29 Jan

How reliant is Iran on oil?

How has the fall in oil prices affected Iran?

Could the fall in oil prices impact Iran’s foreign policy?

These are some of the questions answered by Dr Rmani Jahanbegloo and Dr Shahram Kholdi, both distinguished scholars at different universities in Canada in their recent interview with Canada’s TVO channel.

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