At best they’ll be qualified to run for the elections by the Guardian Council. But beyond that, they don’t stand much of a chance. Both men have made far too many enemies with far too many powerful people such as Ayatollah Khamenei and the Revolutionary Guards.
If you are a betting person, for now, I’d say here are the odds for the likeliest candidate to be selected for the post of president in Iran.
The results below are based on the criteria which I believe the supreme leader is most likely to use to pick the next president (in consultation with other bodies inside the regime. However Khamenei will have the last word)
Most likely – current chief nuclear negotiator Saeed Jalili
Second most likely – former parliament speaker Gholam Ali Hadad Adel
Third most likely – former foreign minister Velayati
Fourth most likely – current mayor of Tehran Qalibaf
Iranian politics is very convoluted and fluid. Things change easily and quickly. So lets revise this list in a week and see what has changed.
Whats interesting is that hardly anyone noticed that the speaker of the Majles Ali Larijani decided not to run for elections – again.