The recent Aspen Institute conference had a panel on Iran’s nuclear program called “How Do We Catalyze Diplomacy in Iran with the Clock Ticking? ”
Here is an interesting clip from Yadlin’s presentation.
According to him, when it came to giving his assessment to Israel’s prime ministers regarding the chances of the Iranian regime actually using a nuclear weapon against Israel, he put the probably at ..see if you can guess the percentage…
Nobody in Israel, including myself want to see the current Iranian regime armed with a nuclear bomb, and there are a number of very good and valid reasons to support this argument, such as proliferation in this region. However saying that the regime is going to use it against Israel is one which does not carry much weight, even with veterans of Israel’s intelligence community such as Amos Yadlin.
You can watch the rest of the panel here: