What to look out for in the upcoming Iran – P5+1 negotiations

14 Oct

The first set of nuclear negotiations between the Rouhani administration and the P5+1 are upon us.

And if you ask me, the press and some politicians are getting way over excited about them.

Its a first date people, so lets not get into arguments about what the flower arrangements at the wedding should look like.

Personally, I am not expecting much.

But what I will be looking out for in this first session (in particular) will be the following:

From the Iranian side:

  • Willingness to discuss curtailment of enrichment levels
  • Willingness  to discuss shipping out existing levels of 20% enriched uranium.

When it comes to the latter, the Iranian side has said that this is a “red line”. We have to wait and see. I think this is merely a negotiating position. It could change.
.
If Iran sticks to its position and insists that instead of shipping out, it will turn its 20% enriched uranium to oxide, then we will have problems. Because the Oxide can be turned back to enriched uranium after a 2- 3 week process.

And from the Western side:

If there is a new sanctions relief program on the table, and in return for which steps from Iran ?

Between the two sides, the onus is on Iran to prove that its serious about reaching a deal. Obama has shown and proven this time and again since 2008.

7 Responses to “What to look out for in the upcoming Iran – P5+1 negotiations”

  1. Eileen Fleming October 15, 2013 at 12:28 am #

    How about addressing Israel’s nukes?

    In 1986 Mordechai Vanunu suffered a crisis of conscience when he figured out he was a “cog” in the manufacturing of WMD just doing his job as a technician on the night shift in Dimona:

    How about addressing USA, UK, French, German collusion in Israel’s Nuclear Deceptions?

    Direct QUOTES from Vanunu to this writer-who became a reporter after and because Vanunu told me:

    “Did you know that President Kennedy tried to stop Israel from building atomic weapons? In 1963, he forced Prime Minister Ben Guirion to admit the Dimona was not a textile plant, as the sign outside proclaimed, but a nuclear plant. The Prime Minister said, ‘The nuclear reactor is only for peace.’

    “Kennedy insisted on an open internal inspection. He wrote letters demanding that Ben Guirion open up the Dimona for inspection.

    “The French were responsible for the actual building of the Dimona. The Germans gave the money; they were feeling guilty for the Holocaust, and tried to pay their way out. Everything inside was written in French, when I was there, almost twenty years ago. Back then, the Dimona descended seven floors underground.

    “In 1955, Perez and Guirion met with the French to agree they would get a nuclear reactor if they fought against Egypt to control the Sinai and Suez Canal. That was the war of 1956. Eisenhower demanded that Israel leave the Sinai, but the reactor plant deal continued on.

    “When Johnson became president, he made an agreement with Israel that two senators would come every year to inspect. Before the senators would visit, the Israelis would build a wall to block the underground elevators and stairways. From 1963 to ’69, the senators came, but they never knew about the wall that hid the rest of the Dimona from them.

    “Nixon stopped the inspections and agreed to ignore the situation. As a result, Israel increased production. In 1986, there were over two hundred bombs. Today, they may have enough plutonium for ten bombs a year.”

    http://j.mp/cuBTuV

  2. annaoleary October 15, 2013 at 2:15 am #

    America behaves in a very underhand manner all over the Middle East. Either it becomes a nuclear free zone or not. Israel lied to America for years as the writer Eileen Fleming points out below. America rewards liars then. Israel tried to kill 300 American crew when it attacked the USS Liberty in 1967. America told the survivors to shut up and just buried the dead crewmen and has tried to bury the truth ever since. Israel is ill treating Mordachai Vanunu the technician who blew the whistle on Dimona and Israel’s nuclear secrets and America, instead of offering him asylum, just looks the other way. Now Iran is in the mix. Iran has not attacked another country for two centuries and two nations of constant warmongering are being agressive with Iran without any evidence of any wrongdoing. So america you better shape up and deal with israel first. We want a nuclear Middle east, or else let everyone develop nuclear warheads.

  3. David Solomon October 15, 2013 at 9:51 am #

    It is sickening how the Western focus is never on Israel’s nuclear weapons of mass destruction. This constant harping on about the possible Arab nuclear potential is such hypocrisy. The fact is, if Israel’s Arab neighbours are being threatened by Israel’s nuclear bombs, then Iran, Iraq, Syria etc have a perfect right to have their own nuclear deterence. If we in Britain believed that nuclear deterence was justified during the Cold War, then Israel, the United States, Britain have no moral high ground to criticize Arab countries needing to protect themselves against Zionist attack. Lets face who first introduced the nuclear nightmare into the Middle East? The Israelis. They are the nuclear “bad guys” in the region. If the West doesn’t like nuclear weapons in the Middle East, the answer is quite simple. Force Israel to give up their nuclear WMDs.

  4. David Solomon October 15, 2013 at 9:56 am #

    This an email I got today from Mordechai Vanunu, in response to my emailing him Happy Birthday yesterday.

    Monday, 14 October, 2013
    Re: HAPPY BIRTHDAY, MORDECHAI

    “Thank you for remembering my Birthday.
    I hope to meet you some day in Freedom,
    Freedom Now First,(FNF)
    VMJC. ”

    Sun, Oct 13, 2013
    “Hello Mordechai

    “….wishing you a Happy Birthday today.
    I’ve made a new Happy Birthday video for you, hoping you will eventually have success in your campaign to get out of the nasty Apartheid Zionist state of Israel, and obtain political asylum in a more decent and humane country..”

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