Today we had the second day of the 2014 Herzliya conference.
One of the speakers was Brigadier-General Brun, military intelligence’s chief analyst.
In contradiction to Prime Minister Netanyahu, General Itai Brun had a more optimistic view of Iran’s role in the talks, so far.
According to the Jerusalem Post, he stated:
“It is very possible that Iran and the world powers that are negotiating with it are moving toward the signing, sometime during the year, of a permanent nuclear deal”.
In another part of his speech he added:
“In the meantime, Iran is abiding by the interim agreement and the pressures, mainly the economic crisis, are leading it toward a dialogue, which we regard as serious-minded, on a permanent agreement.”
This is not the first time that Israel’s intelligence community has come out with a different view to that of Netanyahu with regards to Iran’s nuclear program.
We saw another clear example on the 22nd of November last year.
In my assessment, the odds are at least 60:40 in favour of the current talks succeeding.