Tag Archives: ayatollah khamenei

The future of #Iran after Khamenei

23 Sep
So what is likely to happen after the death of AyatollahKhamenei? Are we likely to see much change in Iran?

President Rouhani visiting Ayatollah Khamenei at the hospital after his recent prostate operation

My latest opinion piece for Aljazeera America tries to answer this important question.

http://america.aljazeera.com/opinions/2014/9/iran-khamenei-succession.html

Podcast: on Ukraine and Holocaust denial as part of a new year’s message in Iran

22 Mar

In my latest podcast I ask the following questions: 

1 – Would a nuclear armed Ukraine have deterred Putin from annexing the Crimea region?

2- Why does the Supreme Leader of Iran feel the need to question the Holocaust in his new year’s speech?

Ahmadinejad case gets postponed

6 Jan

 

On the day of Ahmadinejad’s reported hearing, the head of Tehran’s criminal court declared that today was not the day to review his case. According to him, in fact no date has been set for his second court appearance.

Meanwhile the Conservative Mashregh news, which broke the story yesterday that Ahmadinejad was set to appear in court today quoted a “well-informed judicial source” that today was indeed the day of Ahmadinejad’s hearing.

So here we have two possibilities:

1. Mashregh news got the dates wrong.

2 – Ayatollah Khamenei and other regime insiders decided that today is not the appropriate time to go ahead with his case.

Is this the end of story?

That depends on:

1. Whether Ahmadinejad makes more problems

and more importantly….

2. If the situation in Iran gets worst and Ayatollah Khamenei needs a fall guy. Ahmadinejad’s policies were disastrous for Iran’s economy, but the man behind his decisions in numerous cases was Khamenei himself. Why not let Ahmadinejad take the fall?

These are some scenarios to ponder from now until Ahmadinejad’s next hearing, if there is going to be one.

 

The domestic implications of the latest Iran deal

24 Nov

My latest article looks at the impact which the latest Iran nuclear deal is likely to have on Iran’s domestic politics.

To read, click here

Could Ahmadinejad End Up Under House Arrest?

30 Apr

The scenario that after the elections Mahmoud Ahmadinejad may be placed under house arrest is one which can not be dismissed. These days he is becoming a bigger danger to regime stability than to the security of the state of Israel.
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2013/04/mahmoud-ahmadinejad-house-arrest-iran.html

When Ariel Sharon Helped Ayatollah Khamenei

23 Apr

My latest article outlines a secret visit by Israeli engineers to Iran in 2006, one year after Ahmadinejad called for Israel to be wiped off the map.

It also discusses other secret cooperation between Iran and Israel.

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2013/04/ariel-sharon-khamenei-iran-israel-ties.html

Khamenei’s Criteria For the Next Iranian President

8 Apr

The next Iranian presidential elections are scheduled to be held on the 14th of June.

Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei made a mistake by choosing Ahmadinejad in the 2009 elections.

Based on his goals, challenges and experiences, my latest article explains the criteria which he is likely to use to choose Iran’s next president.

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2013/04/iran-presidential-elections-khamenei-candidates.html