Tag Archives: egypt

General Al Sisi, the hero of Iranian monarchists

16 Feb

General Al Sisi

My Iranian monarchist friends seem to have a new hero: General Abdel Fatah Al Sisi.

And why has an Egyptian General turned into a hero for Iranian monarchists? Because I have come across quite a few of the latter who believe that the Iranian military should have done to Ayatollah Khomeini what Al Sisi did to the Islamist government in Egypt: to overthrow them by force not long after coming to power. To “save” Iran from the Islamists just like Al Sisi did in Egypt.

This is a complex argument. First and foremost soon after Ayatollah Khomeini came to power, Iraq invaded Iran. There were not many Iranian Generals who were prepared to turn their guns against their own instead of the enemy Saddam Hossein. Furthermore, unlike Egypt, the Islamists in Iran killed a great portion of senior members of the military from the previous regime, thus reducing the chances of a military intervention among them.

Removing Ayatollah Khomeini soon after his rise to power could have made the Islamists more popular.

If anything, it is staying in power which has done far more to discredit and delegitimize Islamists in Iranian politics.

What about now? what if an Iranian Al Sisi (meaning a pro-West nationalist) rises among Iran’s armed forces and removes the current regime ?

In my opinion, after 35 years of mostly unpopular Islamist rule in Iran (vs only one year of Islamist rule in Egypt) the idea that such a move could perhaps turn out to be popular can not be ruled out, as long as it’s followed by democratic elections.

Why do I say “could perhaps turn out to be popular”?

The answer, provided in the form of another question (its an old Jewish debating technique): when is the last time a military intervention in politics in the Middle East was soon followed by genuine democratic elections?

How would you describe the latest Egypt referendum?

19 Jan

General Al Sisi, the current de facto ruler of Egypt, and quite possibly its future one

On the 14th and 15th of January, the Egyptian authorities held a referendum on the country’s new constitution. Approximately 39% of eligible votes turned out to vote, and 98% of them voted in favor of the new constitution.

First question is: why does Egypt need a new constitution?

According to the BBC:

The draft constitution replaces one introduced by Islamist President Mohammed Morsi before he was ousted.

Unsurprisingly, the Muslim Brotherhood which was ousted from power has called the new referendum a “farce”.

In my opinion, the way Morsi, a democratically elected president was pushed out of power by force was undemocratic. .

Was this new referendum a farce? I don’t know.

But since toppling Morsi, with the way Egyptian army chief of staff General Al Sisi has been running the show in Egypt, the latest referendum and the way it came about reminds of:

Am I wrong?

Another failed regime change target: Jamal Abdul Nasser

2 Dec

We all know about the 2003 regime change war of George Bush and Tony Blair against Saddam Hussein. 

But what many, especially people of my generation don’t know about is another failed regime change project, this time against Jamal Abdul Nasser, the president of Egypt. 

The plan was: an attack against Egyptian forces in the Sinai by Israel first, followed by an attack by British and French forces against mainland Egypt. A British intelligence source had estimated that such an attack would lead to a popular uprising in Egypt against Nasser who many people wanted overthrown. Much like Iraq, such an estimate relied on dubious intelligence sources.

This all happened during the Suez war of 1956.

This great documentary by the BBC charts the war, especially the serious political and intelligence miscalculations by the British and the French governments.

The only party who managed to leverage something out of that disastrous war was the state of Israel, which at the time of the war was only eight years old. It is believed that for its help to the French during that war, Paris agreed to help Israel develop its nuclear weapons capability

This documentary also proves that contrary to Western propaganda, Nasser was not a Communist.

Please watch, enjoy and share. 

 

 

Egypt: Where is the rage from the international community?

28 Jul

Its time for the EU to pull out its ambassadors from Egypt in protest. 

The brutal and violent behavior of the Egyptian army deserves nothing less.

According to Reuters:

Conflicting reports on the number of deaths vary from 65 to 120, depending on the source of information

Can you imagine if an Islamic backed government had done this to its own population?

Can you imagine the rage if the army of a country which is not an ally of the West had deposed the democratically elected government and started killing its own population in such a manner?

If President Obama and the EU want their calls for genuine democracy in this region to have any  vestige of credibility and legitimacy, then they must act now.

And to my dear Egyptian friends who don’t like the Muslim Brotherhood (MB): I don’t like the Muslim Brotherhood either. But you see the way the army is shooting and killing MB supporters today with no qualms or problems? If we do nothing they will do the same to you tomorrow.

Meir Javedanfar: “What happened in Egypt was a coup d’état!”

11 Jul

A clip from my appearance last night on The France 24 Debate regarding events in Egypt and its impact on this region, including Israel.

 

Four Reasons Why Iran Wins From Morsi’s Fall

9 Jul

On balance, the recent toppling of President Mohammed Morsi by the Egyptian army is likely to be to Iran’s advantage, at least in the short to medium term.

Here are four reasons:

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2013/07/iran-morsi-coup-advantage-syria-gaza-hamas-us-obama-mccain.html

 

بحران مصر تهدیدی برای اسرائیل

8 Jul
مقاله اخیرم برای بی بی سی فارسی راجع به تحولات اخیر در مصر و عواقب کوتاه و دراز مدت ان برای اسرائیل را به شما تقدیم میکنم.