Tag Archives: Iran nuclear negotiations

i24 interview: some in #Israel military intelligence have positive view of #Iran deal

11 Aug

Yesterday Amir Oren published a piece in Haaretz about the Iran deal and the view of some of Iran analysts working for the Israeli military intelligence. Among other things, in the article he states:

“There are those in the Intelligence Corps, including those in the research division dealing with ‪‎Iran‬, who have a very positive view of the nuclear agreement. “

Last night I was interviewed alongside Amir for the i24 news program, where Amir discussed his article in more details. He also mentioned an unprecedented intelligence sharing offer being made by the U.S which would give Israel access to raw intelligence material which no one else except the US would have. Netanyahu has not accepted this offer.

And how some in the military intelligence community are very concerned about the damage being caused to the Israel – US relations.

You can watch interview here:

ICYMI: Netanyahu reverses #Israel stance re: #Iran enrichment

27 Mar
Benjamin_Netanyahu_portrait

A positive move by the Prime Minister which is likely to strengthen Israel’s position.

Israel’s policy has always been that Iran must not be allowed to retain any enrichment capacity. Zero enrichment, zero centrifuges.

In fact this was one of the linchpins of Netanyahu’s speech before the Congress. One of the main reasons why he lambasted the negotiations was because they would allow Iran to have limited enrichment capacity on its soil.

However, two days after his election as Prime Minister, in an interview with MSNBC, Netanyahu suddenly changed course.

According to the JTA, quoting the MSNBC interview:

In the MSNBC interview, however, he made a significant concession, saying Israel could tolerate a limited uranium enrichment capacity for Iran, although with a number lower than the 6,500 reported to be part of an emerging deal.

“A smaller number is something Israel and its Arab neighbors wouldn’t love but could live with,” he said.

By the look of things, not only Netanyahu’s Congress speech failed to convince any Congressmen to change their mind regarding the Iran deal, but as it turns out the only person who seems to have changed their stance towards the Iran negotiations since then is Prime Minister Netanyahu himself.

Welcome to the world of Realpolitik Mr Netanyahu. No one wants the Iranian regime to have nuclear weapons. But your zero enrichment demand was so unrealistic that it hurt  Israel’s credibility.

And no, limited enrichment capacity under tough inspections will not allow Iran to have nuclear weapons as soon as it chooses. Robert Einhorn, one of the world’s foremost experts in this subject explains succinctly why in this op-ed.

For for the record, your truly and Brigadier General Shlomo Brom were the first Israeli specialists of this topic to have the guts to go on the record as far back as in October 2012 to state that Israel could live with limited enrichment on Iranian soil. This was not an easy statement for two Israelis to make as back then Ahmadinejad was still in office and we  were still being subjected to his vicious anti-Israel rhetoric.

The US has NOT stopped updating #Israel on #Iran talks

15 Feb

Today, the Times of Israel quoting Israel’s Channel 2 broke the news that:

The US has stopped updating Israel on progress in talks with Iran over Tehran’s nuclear program.

According to the same report, Channel 2 characterized the move as:
revenge for Netanyahu’s planned speech to Congress next month, which has raised the ire of the Obama administration.
However, this report has been denied by Israel officials and now by US officials as well.

So nothing to see here. Move along.

#Iran in 2014

26 Dec

In 2014, to foresee Iran’s behavior at the nuclear negotiations, we must look at domestic politics.
My latest article explains:
http://www.thejc.com/news/israel-news/114255/to-predict-nuclear-talks-watch-iran%E2%80%99s-domestic-politics-closely

International implications of the #Iran nuclear deal

26 Nov

Numerous questions have been asked about the implications of the recent Geneva deal for the international community and for Iran’s nuclear program.

I tried to answer them in this interview

http://www.radionz.co.nz/national/programmes/ninetonoon/audio/2577520/iran

On Iran, putting the onus on Israel

15 Oct

Another drawback from Netanyahu’s current strategy with regards to Iran is:

“Netanyahu’s behavior puts the onus on [Israel], whereas it should be on Iran,” said Meir Javedanfar, an Iran expert at the Interdisciplinary Center in Herzliya. “They are the ones who have been unwilling to compromise. […] But the way Netanyahu is behaving, he makes Israel look like the biggest obstacle.”

Think about it: after Rouhani’s election victory and Netanyahu’s hostile reaction to it and to the nuclear negotiations, if a survey was carried out asking who is a bigger warmonger – Iran or Israel? who do you think would win? and why?