In his recent interview with Israel’s Channel 2, President Obama stated:
“We think that it would take over a year or so for Iran to actually develop a nuclear weapon but obviously we don’t want to cut it too close”
This statement is quite ambiguous.
We were told at the Herzliya conference by the Israeli Defense Forces’s Intelligence chief that Ayatollah Khamenei, the man who has the last word on all of Iran’s nuclear decisions has still not decided to make a weapon. This view is in line with that of Director of National Intelligence James Clapper.
So did president Obama mean that if and when Iran decides to make a weapon, it would take a year until it succeeds?
Or that it would take a year from now, should the status quo continue with uranium enrichment levels?
But if its the latter, then that does not make much sense as enrichment alone does NOT = weaponization. And the US red line has always been drawn at weaponization, and NOT at enrichment levels.
I think some clarifications are needed before president Obama arrives in Israel where he is likely to be bombarded with questions about this issue.